Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#79
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#71
Pace61.4#314
Improvement-3.4#304

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#78
Improvement-2.3#285

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#80
Improvement-1.1#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.1% n/a n/a
First Round1.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 122   Oral Roberts W 78-61 73%     1 - 0 +16.6 +0.1 +0.3
  Nov 16, 2010 195   Arkansas St. W 80-71 77%     2 - 0 +7.1 -0.7 -0.8
  Nov 17, 2010 56   @ Tennessee L 56-60 28%     2 - 1 +8.1 +5.6 +6.4
  Nov 19, 2010 87   @ Tulsa L 50-62 41%     2 - 2 -3.7 +3.4 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2010 220   Pepperdine W 80-60 87%     3 - 2 +13.7 -2.6 -2.7
  Nov 23, 2010 149   Pacific W 60-49 78%     4 - 2 +9.0 -0.9 -0.4
  Dec 01, 2010 218   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-46 87%     5 - 2 +27.8 -2.4 -2.2
  Dec 04, 2010 338   Central Arkansas W 101-61 98%     6 - 2 +20.8 -8.4 -9.1
  Dec 11, 2010 69   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-84 33%     6 - 3 -3.3 +5.3 +4.8
  Dec 18, 2010 133   Saint Louis W 81-65 75%     7 - 3 +15.0 +0.4 -0.6
  Dec 22, 2010 195   Arkansas St. W 77-70 85%     8 - 3 +2.0 -2.0 -2.7
  Dec 29, 2010 127   @ Northern Iowa W 58-57 51%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +6.8 +2.4 +3.4
  Jan 01, 2011 236   Illinois St. W 82-71 89%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +3.5 -2.7 -4.2
  Jan 04, 2011 119   @ Creighton W 67-55 50%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +18.1 +3.2 +3.6
  Jan 07, 2011 184   Evansville W 65-50 83%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +10.7 -2.0 -1.5
  Jan 09, 2011 63   @ Wichita St. W 59-56 30%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +14.5 +5.2 +6.5
  Jan 12, 2011 230   Southern Illinois W 64-51 88%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +6.3 -3.2 -2.8
  Jan 16, 2011 196   @ Bradley W 78-67 68%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +12.3 +1.4 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2011 118   @ Indiana St. L 69-70 50%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +5.2 +3.4 +2.7
  Jan 22, 2011 119   Creighton W 67-66 73%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +0.8 +0.1 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2011 205   @ Drake W 73-70 71%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +3.4 +0.6 +0.0
  Jan 30, 2011 127   Northern Iowa L 59-60 74%     17 - 5 9 - 2 -1.6 -0.6 +0.0
  Feb 02, 2011 184   @ Evansville L 65-77 65%     17 - 6 9 - 3 -9.9 +1.0 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2011 118   Indiana St. W 73-66 73%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +6.8 +0.3 -0.2
  Feb 09, 2011 196   Bradley W 77-69 85%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +2.9 -2.1 -2.5
  Feb 12, 2011 236   @ Illinois St. W 68-59 75%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +7.9 -0.3 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2011 205   Drake W 60-51 87%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +3.1 -3.3 -2.1
  Feb 19, 2011 96   @ Valparaiso L 67-80 43%     21 - 7 -5.1 +4.0 +3.2
  Feb 23, 2011 230   @ Southern Illinois W 76-58 73%     22 - 7 14 - 3 +17.6 +0.5 +0.1
  Feb 26, 2011 63   Wichita St. W 69-64 54%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +10.1 +2.4 +3.0
  Mar 04, 2011 230   Southern Illinois W 58-56 82%     24 - 7 -1.5 -1.9 -1.5
  Mar 05, 2011 119   Creighton W 60-50 62%     25 - 7 +12.9 +1.5 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2011 118   Indiana St. L 56-60 62%     25 - 8 -1.0 +1.3 +1.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 4.2% 4.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 3.4 0.7 95.8 4.2%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 0.0% 4.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 3.4 0.7 95.8 4.2%